FRIDAY FUN FACTS – Transitioning into Fall

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As we transition from September to October, the real estate market is showing signs of stability and balance. Inventory levels are beginning to flatten out, providing buyers with more options to choose from. Sellers are becoming more flexible, willing to negotiate, make repairs, and offer concessions to close deals.

  • Active Listings: The number of active listings has remained consistent compared to the previous week, although inventory levels are notably higher than this time last year.
  • New Listings: There has been an increase in new listings both week over week and year over year, indicating growing seller confidence.
  • Pending Transactions: The number of pending transactions has remained relatively flat, and the market’s supply of inventory has held steady.
  • Odds of Selling: While the Odds of Selling have risen slightly, they remain below historical averages, reflecting the ongoing dynamics of the market.
  • Showings: Showings have seen a minor decline from the previous week but are higher compared to the same period last year. Homes are staying on the market longer, giving buyers more time to consider their options.
  • Price Reductions: The prevalence of price reductions has increased, with a larger percentage of homes adjusting their prices before entering into contracts. Additionally, the size of these price reductions has also shown an uptick.

Buyers currently have increased negotiating power, as sellers are more willing to engage in negotiations and make concessions. With a stable inventory and a market that offers more time for decision-making, now may be an opportune time for buyers to explore their options.

 

For personalized insights and guidance tailored to your specific real estate goals, feel free to reach out to our team at Windermere Real Estate.  We are here to help you make informed decisions and seize the opportunities presented by the current market conditions.

The post FRIDAY FUN FACTS – Transitioning into Fall appeared first on Fort Collins Real Estate | Fort Collins Homes for Sale & Property Search.

FRIDAY FUN FACTS – Transitioning into Fall

/in , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , /by

As we transition from September to October, the real estate market is showing signs of stability and balance. Inventory levels are beginning to flatten out, providing buyers with more options to choose from. Sellers are becoming more flexible, willing to negotiate, make repairs, and offer concessions to close deals.

  • Active Listings: The number of active listings has remained consistent compared to the previous week, although inventory levels are notably higher than this time last year.
  • New Listings: There has been an increase in new listings both week over week and year over year, indicating growing seller confidence.
  • Pending Transactions: The number of pending transactions has remained relatively flat, and the market’s supply of inventory has held steady.
  • Odds of Selling: While the Odds of Selling have risen slightly, they remain below historical averages, reflecting the ongoing dynamics of the market.
  • Showings: Showings have seen a minor decline from the previous week but are higher compared to the same period last year. Homes are staying on the market longer, giving buyers more time to consider their options.
  • Price Reductions: The prevalence of price reductions has increased, with a larger percentage of homes adjusting their prices before entering into contracts. Additionally, the size of these price reductions has also shown an uptick.

Buyers currently have increased negotiating power, as sellers are more willing to engage in negotiations and make concessions. With a stable inventory and a market that offers more time for decision-making, now may be an opportune time for buyers to explore their options.

 

For personalized insights and guidance tailored to your specific real estate goals, feel free to reach out to our team at Windermere Real Estate.  We are here to help you make informed decisions and seize the opportunities presented by the current market conditions.

The post FRIDAY FUN FACTS – Transitioning into Fall appeared first on Fort Collins Real Estate | Fort Collins Homes for Sale & Property Search.

Best Time to be a Buyer in 10 Years

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As we move into the fall, the real estate market is providing a rare opportunity for buyers who have been waiting on the sidelines for years. Inventory levels are higher than they’ve been in a decade, and sellers are increasingly open to negotiations, making repairs, offering concessions, and even accepting contingent offers to close deals. This presents an exceptional chance for buyers to leverage their negotiating power before potential rate drops lead to increased competition in the marketplace.

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More Days

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A stat that we have expected to change is finally changing.

“Days on Market” measures how long it takes for new listings to sell.

Over the last two years this stat plummeted to levels we have never seen before.

In the height of the market frenzy a year ago, properties were taking 7 days or less to sell on average.

Now, with the market cooling, Days on Market is back into double-digits.

Northern Colorado is at 20 days, a 54% increase over last year.

Metro Denver is at 12 days which is a 50% increase.

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Two Week Snapshot

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Here is a quick snapshot of our markets two weeks into July versus the same time last year…

Larimer & Weld Counties:

  • Inventory up 61%
  • Transaction count down 44%
  • Prices up 17%

Metro Denver:

  • Inventory up 62%
  • Transaction count down 31%
  • Prices up 12%

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What the Numbers Say

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During a time of varying opinions and heavy speculation about the Front Range real estate market, let’s see what the actual numbers are telling us:

Inventory is up significantly year over year:

  • Larimer County = +48%
  • Weld County = +52%
  • Metro Denver = +74%

However, supply is still low as measured by months of inventory:

  • Larimer County = 1.1 Months
  • Weld County = 1 Month
  • Metro Denver = 1 Month

Transaction count is down as the pace of sales is slowing:

  • Larimer County = -24%
  • Weld County = -15%
  • Metro Denver = -19%

Yet, average prices are still up versus last year:

  • Larimer County = +18%
  • Weld County = +10%
  • Metro Denver = +14%

The post What the Numbers Say appeared first on Fort Collins Real Estate | Fort Collins Homes for Sale & Property Search.

What the Numbers Say

/in , , , , , , , /by

During a time of varying opinions and heavy speculation about the Front Range real estate market, let’s see what the actual numbers are telling us:

Inventory is up significantly year over year:

  • Larimer County = +48%
  • Weld County = +52%
  • Metro Denver = +74%

However, supply is still low as measured by months of inventory:

  • Larimer County = 1.1 Months
  • Weld County = 1 Month
  • Metro Denver = 1 Month

Transaction count is down as the pace of sales is slowing:

  • Larimer County = -24%
  • Weld County = -15%
  • Metro Denver = -19%

Yet, average prices are still up versus last year:

  • Larimer County = +18%
  • Weld County = +10%
  • Metro Denver = +14%

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With a “T”

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One of the reasons we are so confident about the long-term health of the market is because of the equity that exists in peoples’ homes today.

Because there is so much equity, there are very few homeowners who are ‘underwater’ with a loan that is more than the actual value of the property.

According to the latest ‘Homeowner Equity Insights’ report from CoreLogic, only 2.3% of all homes are ‘underwater’ with negative equity.

To put that in perspective, in the fourth quarter of 2009, 26% of all mortgaged properties had negative equity.

Nationally, homeowner equity has increased by $2.9 Trillion during the last 12 months (that’s Trillion with a ‘T’)!

Locally, only 1.4% of Colorado mortgage holders have negative equity, which is one of the lowest rates in the Country.

What this all means is very, very few distressed sales and overall health in the real estate market.

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Staggering Stat

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By definition, a real estate market is balanced when there is 4 to 6 months of inventory currently for sale.

Anything less than 4 to 6 months means a Sellers’ market, anything more means a Buyers’ market.

For example, if there are 1,000 closings per month in a market, the market would be balanced if 4,000 to 6,000 homes were available for sale.

Here is a staggering stat for you…

At the current pace of sales, the Front Range market would need 6 to 7 times more inventory for the market to be balanced.

This is why we don’t see any sort of significant market correction or anything resembling ‘the market crashing.’ Bottom line, the market is still undersupplied.

Here are the numbers:

• Larimer County has 441 properties for sale and would need 2,200 to be balanced.
• Weld County has 322 properties for sale and would need 2,000 to be balanced.
• Metro Denver has 3,023 properties for sale and would need 20,000 to be balanced.

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Calculated Risk

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The economic research blog called “Calculated Risk” just completed a fascinating study on home prices.

Specifically, they looked at the correlation between home price growth and inventory.

They used price data from the Case-Shiller Home Price Index and inventory data from the National Association of Realtors.

No surprise, they found that the lower the inventory the higher the home price growth.  Also no surprise, as inventory goes up, price growth slows down.

This all correlates with simple economic rules of supply and demand.

The interesting part of their research is this:  at a certain level of inventory, prices have the potential to go down.

That level, according to their research, is six months of inventory.

That means, prices don’t have a chance of decreasing in a market until there is at least 6 months of inventory available for sale.

To put that in perspective, today there is two weeks of inventory on the market along the Front Range.

So, there would need to be 12 times the amount of homes for sale on the market for prices to even have a chance to go down.

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