FRIDAY FUN FACTS – Transitioning into Fall

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As we transition from September to October, the real estate market is showing signs of stability and balance. Inventory levels are beginning to flatten out, providing buyers with more options to choose from. Sellers are becoming more flexible, willing to negotiate, make repairs, and offer concessions to close deals.

  • Active Listings: The number of active listings has remained consistent compared to the previous week, although inventory levels are notably higher than this time last year.
  • New Listings: There has been an increase in new listings both week over week and year over year, indicating growing seller confidence.
  • Pending Transactions: The number of pending transactions has remained relatively flat, and the market’s supply of inventory has held steady.
  • Odds of Selling: While the Odds of Selling have risen slightly, they remain below historical averages, reflecting the ongoing dynamics of the market.
  • Showings: Showings have seen a minor decline from the previous week but are higher compared to the same period last year. Homes are staying on the market longer, giving buyers more time to consider their options.
  • Price Reductions: The prevalence of price reductions has increased, with a larger percentage of homes adjusting their prices before entering into contracts. Additionally, the size of these price reductions has also shown an uptick.

Buyers currently have increased negotiating power, as sellers are more willing to engage in negotiations and make concessions. With a stable inventory and a market that offers more time for decision-making, now may be an opportune time for buyers to explore their options.

 

For personalized insights and guidance tailored to your specific real estate goals, feel free to reach out to our team at Windermere Real Estate.  We are here to help you make informed decisions and seize the opportunities presented by the current market conditions.

The post FRIDAY FUN FACTS – Transitioning into Fall appeared first on Fort Collins Real Estate | Fort Collins Homes for Sale & Property Search.

FRIDAY FUN FACTS – Transitioning into Fall

/in , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , /by

As we transition from September to October, the real estate market is showing signs of stability and balance. Inventory levels are beginning to flatten out, providing buyers with more options to choose from. Sellers are becoming more flexible, willing to negotiate, make repairs, and offer concessions to close deals.

  • Active Listings: The number of active listings has remained consistent compared to the previous week, although inventory levels are notably higher than this time last year.
  • New Listings: There has been an increase in new listings both week over week and year over year, indicating growing seller confidence.
  • Pending Transactions: The number of pending transactions has remained relatively flat, and the market’s supply of inventory has held steady.
  • Odds of Selling: While the Odds of Selling have risen slightly, they remain below historical averages, reflecting the ongoing dynamics of the market.
  • Showings: Showings have seen a minor decline from the previous week but are higher compared to the same period last year. Homes are staying on the market longer, giving buyers more time to consider their options.
  • Price Reductions: The prevalence of price reductions has increased, with a larger percentage of homes adjusting their prices before entering into contracts. Additionally, the size of these price reductions has also shown an uptick.

Buyers currently have increased negotiating power, as sellers are more willing to engage in negotiations and make concessions. With a stable inventory and a market that offers more time for decision-making, now may be an opportune time for buyers to explore their options.

 

For personalized insights and guidance tailored to your specific real estate goals, feel free to reach out to our team at Windermere Real Estate.  We are here to help you make informed decisions and seize the opportunities presented by the current market conditions.

The post FRIDAY FUN FACTS – Transitioning into Fall appeared first on Fort Collins Real Estate | Fort Collins Homes for Sale & Property Search.

Friday Fun Facts – The 1651 Day Wait is Over

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It’s been 1651 days since the Federal Reserve last cut rates.

During this era of rising rates, we’ve seen:

  • Mortgage rates peak at nearly 8% in October 2023
  • Existing home sales plummet to 1995 levels
  • Home affordability hit a 40-year low

So when we got the news this week that the Fed was cutting interest rates by 0.55%, we were elated.

Not because this single interest rate will dramatically decrease overnight – but because this signals that this is only the beginning and not the end of interest rate cuts.

What to expect – more buyers, increased competition.

To help you navigate the process of buying or selling your home, please reach out to your Windermere agent.

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Best Time to be a Buyer in 10 Years

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As we move into the fall, the real estate market is providing a rare opportunity for buyers who have been waiting on the sidelines for years. Inventory levels are higher than they’ve been in a decade, and sellers are increasingly open to negotiations, making repairs, offering concessions, and even accepting contingent offers to close deals. This presents an exceptional chance for buyers to leverage their negotiating power before potential rate drops lead to increased competition in the marketplace.

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Halfway Check

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This is a market which is changing quickly.  We are studying the numbers every day so we can be clear about where the market is heading.

Here is a check on the market halfway through October.

Compared to last October…

  • Available inventory is up 73% in Northern Colorado and up 112% in Metro Denver.  This is significant for buyers who, for years, were challenged with limited selection.
  • Number of closed transactions is down 50% in Northern Colorado and 41% in Metro Denver.  This reflects the fact that fewer buyers are active right now given higher interest rates.

Prices continue to be higher than last year.  They are up 12% in Northern Colorado and 13% in Metro Denver.  We don’t expect double-digit increases to continue, but don’t expect anything like a price crash.

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100 / 90 / 60

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As you’ve probably heard, prices have gone up quite a bit along the Front Range.

Low interest rates, strong demand, lower supply, and a healthy local economy are all contributing to increased prices.

It may interest you to see exactly how much prices have increased since one year ago in the markets where we have the most activity.

Over the last year, Weld County has increased roughly $100,000, Metro Denver $90,000 and Larimer County $60,000.

Specifically, here are the average prices one year ago vs. today:

  • Weld County = $426,000 vs. $523,000
  • Metro Denver = $523,000 vs. $612,000
  • Larimer County = $532,000 vs. $592,000

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Listing Averages

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While a lot of attention has been paid to increasing sales prices along the Front Range, it is also interesting to look at the average price of properties currently listed for sale.

Did you know, for instance, that the average list price of all the properties currently for sale in Metro Denver is $887,000. Meanwhile, the average closed sales price is $613,000.

In Larimer County it is $793,000 versus an average closed sales price of $601,000.

In Weld County it is $669,000 versus $488,000.

What is causing this? The high number of high-end properties currently for sale pulling up the average.

You might be surprised to hear the number of $1,000,000-plus listings active listings in our market looks like this:

  • Metro Denver = 527
  • Larimer County = 75
  • Weld County = 44

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Local Nuances

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“All markets are local” is a commonly used phrase in real estate.

This adage is proving to be true as we notice slight changes recently in the market.

Bottom line, the market, in some locations, is not behaving exactly like it did even 30 days ago. Properties that perhaps would have received 10 or more offers last month, are now receiving only one.

It is as important as ever to examine not only the general market area, but also hyper-local markets in order to understand the nuances that exist in specific locations.

A common activity we perform with our clients is to research the months of supply in their own neighborhood. We will frequently find that this stat varies considerably from the market as a whole.

To illustrate how ‘all markets are local,’ take a look at the days of inventory statistic for the following markets:

Larimer County = 18 days
Fort Collins = 15 days
80521 Zip Code = 24 days
80525 Zip Code = 9 days

While data on the overall market clarifies overall trends, it is the hyper-local research that is incredibly valuable when pricing property.

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High Average

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If you watch the weekly statistics that we produce and post on social media, a number that might be jumping off the screen at you is the average price.

Specifically, it is the percentage increase in average price versus last year that is striking.

We are commonly asked ‘how could average prices increase 20% to 30% in one year?’

It is important to note prices haven’t appreciated up to 30%, it’s only the average price that has increased by that amount.

A key reason why average prices have increased by such a significant amount is that there are many more luxury properties selling this year versus last year.

Sales of properties priced over $1,000,000 have seen a substantial increase compared to 2020.

Look at these numbers which show the year over year increase in closed transactions for real estate priced over $1 million:

  • Larimer County = 159%
  • Weld County = 247%
  • Metro Denver = 137%

So, transactions of luxury properties have much more than doubled compared to 2020 which is pulling up the average sales price in a significant way.

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Colorado Ranking

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Here’s the latest from one of our favorite data sources – the Federal Housing Finance Authority (FHFA).

They track home prices across the Country and produce a quarterly Home Price Index report.

It is not uncommon to find Colorado near the top of the list for year over year price growth.

The latest report has us ranked 13th with only a 13% year over year increase (said with sarcasm).

Idaho is first with a whopping 24% increase. Utah is second at 19%.

Here is our interpretation of these numbers…

Colorado has a history of strong, steady price growth instead of booms and busts.

Our market does not take the big, wild swings in prices that other markets sometimes do.

The fact that Colorado is not at the very top of the list right now is actually good news to us.

We know that our clients appreciate a market that is more steady instead of one that can feel like a rollercoaster.

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