Ninety Eight Percent

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Properties in Northern Colorado sell for 98% of their list price on average.

This single statistic communicates two interesting facts about the market.

First, this is not a market full of desperate sellers who are willing to accept low ball offers.

Second, properties that are priced right are the ones that are selling.

So, if a seller has an appropriate price, they can expect to receive an offer very close to the list price.

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Highly Active

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In addition to tracking the average price for sold properties, it is also interesting to track the average price for active properties.

Asking prices are up across all markets when compared to the same time last year.

Here are the average list prices for residential properties along the Front Range:

  • Larimer County = $893,000 (8% higher than last year)
  • Weld County = $702,000 (6% higher than last year)
  • Metro Denver = $847,000 (5% higher than last year)

These asking prices are higher than average sales prices by approximately 30%. This is because there are many high-end properties on the market which take longer to sell and which pull up the average.

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Increasing Reductions

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More and more sellers are having to reduce their listing price.

Nationally, 37% of all home sellers have recently had a listing price reduction. This is according to a recent report from Altos Research.

This is up from 30% in May and is now at the second-highest level since 2018. The highest it has been in the last five years is November 2022 when it stood at 41%.

A “normal” range is between 25% and 30%. Today’s number is a result of softening demand based on higher interest rates.

Proper pricing is always important for a seller and is especially so now as we enter a typically slower time of the year with added challenges related to interest rates.

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Under 100

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For the first time in a long time, the sale to list price ratio is below 100%.

This statistic measures the final sales price versus the listing price.

During the super-active market of the last 24 months, this number averaged over 100%.

This was a result of multiple offers and bidding wars which caused buyers to offer more than list price.

Now, the sale to list price ratio has dropped to below 100% as a result of a more balanced market.

These are the specific numbers in each of our markets:

Larimer County = 98%

Weld County = 99%

Metro Denver = 97%

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At Least List

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Periodically we track a stat which we find to be quite interesting.

 

It answers this question – how many properties are selling for at least list price (asking price or higher)?

 

This stat tells us how active the market is and helps our buyers to realize that, in some cases, they will be in a competitive situation.

 

When we look at single-family home sales so far this month, this is what we find:

  • 57% of properties in Larimer County sell for at least list price
  • 62% of properties in Weld County sell for at least list price

So, in well over half of the transactions, buyers need to offer list price or higher to acquire the property.

 

The data gets even more interesting when this information is broken out by price range.

 

To no one’s surprise, the percentage increases for properties priced under $400,000:

  • 81% in Larimer County
  • 70% in Weld County

We find that for properties over $400,000 the percentages still tell a story of a very active market:

  • 47% in Larimer County
  • 56% in Weld County

Bottom line, in most locations and price ranges we see a strong sellers’ market where buyers need to be prepared to make a strong offer and to also compete.

tug of war

At Windermere Real Estate we are taking Safer at Home and Social Distancing very seriously.  Our people are following our Safe Showings protocol, staying connected to their clients, and providing help wherever needed.

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Over List

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A statistic we keep our eye on is the percentage of homes which sell for at least list price.

In a robust, healthy, market with lower inventory, we will frequently see homes selling for their asking price or even higher.

 

Here are the number of sales that occur for list price or higher in each of our major markets:

• Fort Collins = 60%
• Loveland = 60%
• Greeley = 71%
• Windsor = 56%

 

There are a couple of things we notice about these numbers. First, well over half of all sales are for at least list price. This means that a buyer needs to be prepared to make a full price offer (or higher) in most cases. This also means that if a seller is priced right and marketed effectively, they should achieve their asking price.

We also notice that these percentages are lower than one year ago. In 2018 these numbers were 5% to 10% higher in each market. This is good news for buyers of course because the bidding wars are not as intense as last year.

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