Inventory in Perspective

A significant dynamic in the Front Range market is the relatively low inventory. This is the main reason why prices are stable despite higher rates.

Here is some perspective on the inventory of homes for sale to help give some context.

Today’s inventory is:

  • Half of the long-term average going back 30 years
  • ¼ of the all-time high in 2006
  • 3 times the all-time low of 2021

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MOI is Still LOW

Despite decreased buyer activity driven by normal seasonal patterns plus higher interest rates, the key stat of Months of Inventory continues to stay relatively low.

Months of Inventory (MOI) is the simple measurement of how long it would take to sell the current inventory of homes for sale at the current pace of sales.

Along the Front Range, this stat ranges from roughly 2 ½ months to just over 3. A market is considered ‘balanced’ when there is 4 to 6 months of inventory for sale.

Here are the specific numbers for Front Range markets:

Larimer County = 3.1 Months

Weld County = 2.7 Months

Metro Denver = 2.4 Months

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Jump to Three

The most notable change in the market, in terms of a specific statistic, is months of inventory.

This statistic measures how long it would take to sell all of the current inventory at the current pace of sales.

Months of inventory has jumped to three along the Front Range.

One year ago, it was two months. Two years ago, it was three weeks.

The jump is a result of decreased demand driven by higher interest rates combined with slightly increasing inventory.

We expect months of inventory to continue to increase and imagine it could be at four months by this winter.

The post Jump to Three appeared first on Fort Collins Real Estate | Fort Collins Homes for Sale & Property Search.

Jump to Three

The most notable change in the market, in terms of a specific statistic, is months of inventory.

This statistic measures how long it would take to sell all of the current inventory at the current pace of sales.

Months of inventory has jumped to three along the Front Range.

One year ago, it was two months. Two years ago, it was three weeks.

The jump is a result of decreased demand driven by higher interest rates combined with slightly increasing inventory.

We expect months of inventory to continue to increase and imagine it could be at four months by this winter.

The post Jump to Three appeared first on Fort Collins Real Estate | Fort Collins Homes for Sale & Property Search.

Double, Half, Fifth

Today’s inventory of residential properties along the Front Range is…

Double what it was in 2021 (the all-time low)

Half of the long-term average (going back to 1985)

One-fifth of what it was in 2006 (the all-time high)

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Ups and Downs

Here is a look at how the market performed in August versus August 2022

 

Prices:

Larimer County Up 4%

Weld County Up 8%

Metro Denver Up 6%

 

Transactions:

Larimer County Down 18%

Weld County Down 31%

Metro Denver Down 15%

 

Inventory:

Larimer County Up 18%

Weld County No Change

Metro Denver Down 4%

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Where It’s At

New Homes are where it’s at.

By ‘it,’ we mean inventory.

Given low supply of existing homes, home buyers have figured out that new homes offer an effective place to find homes for sale.

Here are the stats…

Inventory of existing homes is down 7.7% year over year. And, last year’s inventory was historically low.

Meanwhile, sales of new homes rose 4.4%. This increase was much more than most analysts expected.

New Homes are where it is at.

The post Where It’s At appeared first on Fort Collins Real Estate | Fort Collins Homes for Sale & Property Search.

Where It’s At

New Homes are where it’s at.

By ‘it,’ we mean inventory.

Given low supply of existing homes, home buyers have figured out that new homes offer an effective place to find homes for sale.

Here are the stats…

Inventory of existing homes is down 7.7% year over year. And, last year’s inventory was historically low.

Meanwhile, sales of new homes rose 4.4%. This increase was much more than most analysts expected.

New Homes are where it is at.

The post Where It’s At appeared first on Fort Collins Real Estate | Fort Collins Homes for Sale & Property Search.

Year to Date

Here is an interesting look at the market year to date versus the same time period in 2022.

Bottom line, the number of transactions is down considerably, and prices are flat to slightly down.

Larimer County = Sales down 17.5%, prices up 0.7%

Weld County = Sales down 29.6%, prices down 2.2%

Metro Denver = Sales down 22.4%, prices down 2.9%

The post Year to Date appeared first on Fort Collins Real Estate | Fort Collins Homes for Sale & Property Search.

Year to Date

Here is an interesting look at the market year to date versus the same time period in 2022.

Bottom line, the number of transactions is down considerably, and prices are flat to slightly down.

Larimer County = Sales down 17.5%, prices up 0.7%

Weld County = Sales down 29.6%, prices down 2.2%

Metro Denver = Sales down 22.4%, prices down 2.9%

The post Year to Date appeared first on Fort Collins Real Estate | Fort Collins Homes for Sale & Property Search.